Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Rollback-chaser in San Clemente

We're going back to San Clemente today to profile a former million-dollar property that has been significantly discounted from its 2007 price.

It's symbolic of what may be a growing shift in the distressed real estate market. In previous months, we became accustomed to seeing 100% financing deals from 2004, 2005 and 2006 find their way to the open market either as short sales or foreclosures.

Now, we're beginning to see some properties that last changed hands in 2007 come back onto the market in distress. This is one example...

918 Avenida Presidio, 92672
Asking price: $899,000
Asking price/ sq ft: $257
Purchase price: $1,415,000
Purchase date: 5/21/07
Size: 3 beds, 4 baths, 3,500 sq ft (built in 1989)
MLS: L24675 (308 days on Redfin)
Zillow Zestimate: $1,303,500
Type: Single Family Residence
Style: Contemporary/modern
Stories: 3+ Levels
Lot size: 9,375 sq ft
From listing: Fabulous home recently remodeled with ultimate upgrades, cherry wood cabinetry, pecan wood & travertine flooring. Master suite with walk-in closet, cozy fireplace and gorgeous view of canyon. Entertainers kitchen with top of the line appliances, sub zero refrigerator, great room with wrap around deck with 170 degree view of surrounding hills and Dana Point Harbor. 2 car attached garage.

Customized financial info:
Minimum Income Requirement (using 30Y Fixed): $186,000, assumes no other debt/obligations.
Downpayment needed: $179,800
Monthly Payment on 30Y Fixed at 6.375% with property taxes and mortgage insurance estimated: $5,717.86
Minimum Income Requirement (using 5Y fixed): $174,000, assumes no other debt/obligations.
Monthly Payment on 5Y fixed at 5.75% with property taxes and mortgage insurance estimated: $5,427.06
Disclosure: All rates offered to the client with 1 point cost. Rate quotes assume a purchase transaction with the required minimum down payment, 720 credit score, full income qualification and required reserves. Rates are subject to fluctuation. Custom rate quotes and rate lock advice are available by visiting www.thegreatloan.com.

The current owner paid $1.4 million for a house without air conditioning? Not like they really need it in San Clemente anyway...

We purposely omitted the ZipRealty asking price history before. Here it is:
Price Reduced: 11/16/07 -- $1,499,000 to $1,449,000
Price Reduced: 11/23/07 -- $1,449,000 to $1,448,888
Price Reduced: 12/05/07 -- $1,448,888 to $1,443,888
Price Reduced: 12/14/07 -- $1,443,888 to $1,439,000
Price Reduced: 12/26/07 -- $1,439,000 to $1,399,000
Price Reduced: 01/12/08 -- $1,399,000 to $1,398,888
Price Reduced: 01/18/08 -- $1,398,888 to $1,382,888
Price Reduced: 01/24/08 -- $1,382,888 to $1,379,000
Price Reduced: 02/09/08 -- $1,379,000 to $1,339,000
Price Reduced: 03/18/08 -- $1,339,000 to $1,325,000
Price Reduced: 03/24/08 -- $1,325,000 to $1,279,000
Price Reduced: 04/14/08 -- $1,279,000 to $1,199,000
Price Reduced: 04/21/08 -- $1,199,000 to $1,175,000
Price Reduced: 04/28/08 -- $1,175,000 to $999,000
Price Reduced: 05/24/08 -- $999,000 to $949,000
Price Reduced: 08/04/08 -- $948,888 to $924,000
Price Reduced: 08/15/08 -- $924,000 to $899,000

Counting? That's a total of 17 price reductions so far, culminating in a total discount of $600,000 off the original asking price.

The current owner is unfortunately going to get hurt here. He purchased the property in mid 2007 using 85% financing from Sea Breeze Financial and a $215,000 downpayment.

As you can see from the current asking price, he stands to lose the entire sum - should the property sell. If we were to assume the bank allowed the sale to go through, it would mean a loss of $569,940, including 6% sales costs. The owner would lose his downpayment, and the lender would be out $354,940.

Not including sales costs, it would mean a depreciation of 36% off the previous sales price. But, it would be an increase of $202,500 or 29% above the September 2003 price of $696,500.

To complicate things, this property also is a preforeclosure. A notice of default was filed on the property in June in the amount of $62,262.

8 comments:

Anonymous said...

This price doesn't seem totally unreasonable. Nice upgrades.

Anonymous said...

Yeah, and if gas starts going for $5.50 a gallon, then $4.50 will be such a great deal. After being faced with sky high prices for so long, we can get tricked into thinking we are getting a good deal when homes are still at insane prices. I will continue to scoff until prices are, indeed, reasonable. $500K for this home is a start.

Anonymous said...

Great views but horrible location for families with children. For the last four years I've driven by this house on the way to my son's school. This stretch of Presidio is steep and busy. I've had to pull over to the side of the road in this area of the street to let others speed by. There is no way parents would let their chidren play in the street and there are no parks nearby.The houses on this side of Presidio are perched on a sheer drop off ...so it's more like an apartment from the back. Great views, though.

Anonymous said...

The thing that shocks me the most: INCOME REQUIRED $186,000. And that's for the "reduced" price. Not to mention $180K down payment. With all the exotic financing off-limits, we are back to incomes/debt ratio/down payment as the key factors.

Anonymous said...

Yep - steep, busy and I might add - ugly. This whole area is looking rather shaggy and dated.

Even Salvador - the so called street of dreams - looks like hell. So many preforeclosures and foreclosures it makes your head spin.

Best view house on Salvador is now a short sale. Too bad the property needs about 500K in upgrades.

Anonymous said...

I agree that this price is probably about right. It's really a great view. My only question is whether the bank would go for it - it's a huge loss.

Larry Roberts said...

Thank you for the schandefreude fix. Flippers from 2007 are getting what is coming to them.

Local Girl said...

I have read your blog for quite some time, and love it!
I also am a SC resident for the past 35 years. I think that these people are delirious and greedy...people think that they deserve so much more than they actually purchased these properties for. Ridiculous! There is not one home in SC that is worth a million bucks! I am currently a renter of a home that has been on sale for the past 90 or so days and have to say that these real estate agents are just as pushy and greedy! We live in a time where people should be more concerned about how much worse it is going to get and stop thinking that they a rich because they own or are indebted millions of dollars! Keep up the good work.