Showing posts with label foreclosure. Show all posts
Showing posts with label foreclosure. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

1/3 off '04 price in Ladera

What would you think of a Ladera Ranch REO priced 1/3 off the 2004 sales price? Would you like to throw your hat into the ring of the "buying frenzy" we're seeing?

44 La Salle, 92694
Asking price: $529,650

Beds: 4
Baths: 3
Sq. Ft.: 2,300
$/Sq. Ft.: $230
Lot Size: 3,496 Sq. Ft.
Property Type:Single Family Residence
Style:Contemporary
Stories:2
Year Built: 2003
Community: Ladera Ranch
County: Orange
MLS#: S586792
Source: SoCalMLS
Status: Active
On Redfin: 1 day
From listing: This property in the city of Ladera Ranch features 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, a large open floor plan with a large kitchen, granite counter tops; it is located near freeways, shopping, entertainment and more. This property is priced to sell and will not last long, submit your offer today!!

What more is there to say? We've got an REO that can be sold for $230/sq ft in South OC. It's possible, of course, that the sales price will be above that. The mello roos total about $3,600 per year, or $306 per month. That's before HOA dues, property taxes and insurance.

This house went back to the bank in July for just around the asking price now. The previous "organic" sale was in 2004 for $785,000. That translates to about $341/sq ft.

Assuming the house will be sold for the full asking price - though of course it could go for higher since it's an REO and those are hot, hot hot! - it would be a decline of about $255,000, or 33% from the 2004 value.

Monday, May 18, 2009

A walk around South OC

Pictures tell a lot of the story - just ask anyone who saw Irvine Renter's informative recent post on the Irvine Housing Blog.

The screen grab above is off of ForeclosureRadar.com. It shows properties in some stage of foreclosure (green=preforeclosure/notice of default; blue=auction/notice of trustee sale; red=bank owned). As you can see, this area has a fairly dense sprinkling of distressed properties.

Here is another snapshot moving a bit southeast. On the right of this map is a favorite bubble area, Ladera Ranch (click on image to enlarge).

How are things on the coast? Obviously, not as bad as farther inland. Below is a screen grab that covers Dana Point near the harbor. At the bottom right is Capo Beach:

If you'd like a random comparison, below is a random snapshot of an area just outside Temecula. It's still way worse out there and that's how it's going to be...you're not going to see sub-$100/square foot in South OC.

Monday, January 26, 2009

Luxury $179/sq ft in RSM

On its face, a rollback like this is pretty unremarkable given the times. But, this property in RSM was once a million-dollar home, so the decline is a bit more intriguing.

9 Arbor Walk Ln, 92688
Asking price: $689,900
Asking price/ sq ft: $179
Purchase price: $809,000
Purchase date: 9/11/08
Size: 5 beds, 4 baths, 3,858 sq ft (built in 2000)
MLS: S550236 (111 days on Redfin)
ZipRealty price tracker: Price Reduced: 11/12/08 -- $819,900 to $774,900
Price Reduced: 12/17/08 -- $774,900 to $749,900
Price Reduced: 01/26/09 -- $749,900 to $689,900
Zillow Zestimate: $773,000
HOA dues: $85
Type: Single Family Residence
Style: Contemporary
Stories: 2
Lot size: 5,848 Sq. Ft.
From listing: Incredible Price Reduction! Perfect 10 Home!!! This gorgeous home has a superb floor plan. Gourmet kitchen with a large granite covered center island that is perfect for holiday gatherings!!! Open floor plan, family room has built-in fireplace and media niche. 5 large bedrooms and 4 bathrooms. Large Master Suite with walk-in closet and sizeable master bath. Rear yard has a nicely sized swimming pool great for barbeques.


View Larger Map

As the bubble reached its peak in 2006, this property sold for $259/sq ft. Now, since it is offered at $689,900, that means the property has depreciated 31%.

Would it also be too much to ask for an updated listing description, particularly since the current one mentions "holiday gatherings." Now that we're almost into February, the next holiday for most is President's Day.

Coincidentally (or not, since we were the one who selected today's property), we were in RSM this past weekend. There are few if any good deals to be had at the Circuit City liquidation out there. We do like the area - except the fact that it's warmer than by the coast, and considering the awful commute one would have to make each day.

And, there's something that makes us shake our head when we see a million-dollar home - like this once was - where you can't take a picture of the front without seeing neighbors crammed in on each side. That is a huge paradox in RSM - huge open space, yet jammed-in housing units.

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

2002 rollback in San Juan

Happy inauguration day! We're cautiously optimistic that the country is ready to turn the corner. Today's property in San Juan last changed hands in June 2008, but it is currently priced below the 2002 sales price.

26277 Via Madrigal, 92675
Asking price: $269,999
Asking price/ sq ft: $227
Purchase price: $383,669
Purchase date: 6/11/08
Size: 3 beds, 3 baths, 1,189 sq ft (built in 1982)
MLS: P671406 (7 days on Redfin)
Zillow Zestimate: $390,000
HOA dues: $230
Type: Condominium
Style: Mediterranean
Stories: 2
From listing: Fabulous 2 Story condo in Casitas Del Rio! Meiterranean style with tile roof, Open and Airy kitchen! New Carpet, Stainless Steel Appliances, Built in Entertainment Center, Wood Flooring, Tile in Bathrooms, New Carpet in Secondary bedrooms, laminant wood flooring in master bedroom. 2 Car Attached garage, shows great!!

The sales and listing history is a little vague - at least we don't know the story - but ZipRealty lists this as a foreclosure. We do see the property has been re-listed and bounced on and off the market a few times recently.

Now, it's priced $1 below the 2002 sales price of $270,000. Coincidentally, 26261 Via Mistral is accepting backup offers. This description says the property includes "pergo flooring throughout downstairs, newer paint, scraped ceilings, new plumbing fixtures and light fixtures, wood shutters..."and more.

The last asking price of this neighboring property was $268,000. So, it appears our subject property is likely worth around the same price. Looks like the asking price is in line with the market.

Considering these properties could rent for perhaps about $1,800 per month (a June 2007 property here that is a bit larger came and left the MLS asking $2,000 per month), we would estimate this property could be near or at rental parity.

Thursday, January 15, 2009

Just one of many in LH

Here's your typical foreclosure property in Laguna Hills - 25726 Califia Drive. This 4-bedroom, 1.75-bath house previously sold for $575,000 in 2004. There obviously was a lot of debt on this property, as it went back to the bank for more than $660,000 in July 2008. Now, it's on the market for $430,000 - 25% below the '04 price.

Let's take a look at some of the pictures:

Welcome to your vintage bathroom...
Walls could use some touching up...
Here's our favorite: Proof your new home was recently cleaned! Why the heck would you a) take this picture, and b) post it with the listing? Awful photo indeed.

Tuesday, December 09, 2008

Behind the foreclosures: LN

The OC Register has another story out today on foreclosures . This time, it details some properties in Laguna Niguel. Here is a sample of some of the homes featured in the article:

REOs for sale:
25111 Adelanto (pictured above)
OCR comment: "This is a 3 bedroom, 3 bath home with remodeled kitchen, granite counters, recently replaced roof and living room with brick fireplace."
Original asking price: $594,000
Current asking price: $534,600
Our comment: The previous owners paid $720,000 in 2006. They used a 10% downpayment. The first loan went into default in May.

31216 Flying Cloud
OCR comment: "This bungalow has 2 bedrooms and 2 baths on one level, with views of city lights and the coastline. Detached garage with guest parking. Remodeled in 2006. Granite countertops, vinyl windows and a deep Jacuzzi-jetted tub in master bath."
Original asking price: $949,000
Current asking price: $840,000
Our comment: Unfortunately, ForeclosureRadar doesn't have info on this property, and Redfin says it's a short sale and not a foreclosure with a $995,000 previous sales price. Here's some info on the rest of the street: 31486 Flying Cloud is an REO (100% financing on a $922,000 sale in March 2007!) and 31324 Flying Cloud is in preforeclosure.

Pending
17 Westgate
OCR comment:
"This Mediterranean-style single family residence has 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, in a gated community. Near to the ocean and Bear Brand Ranch. Plantation shutters throughout. Three-car tandem garage."
Original/latest asking price: $825,500
Our comment: It appears the previous owner bought a flipped property for $1.2 million in 2007. They used 90% financing, and then added an additional $200,000 from Indymac two months after purchase. The property was in default about a year later.

Recently sold
27636 Blossom Hill, 92677
OCR comment: "This contemporary 4 bedroom, 3 bath home is on 2 levels, within a gated community. Wood shutters throughout, and the entire house has been wired for surround sound. Oversized walk-in closet, with separate family and dining rooms, wood and marble flooring downstairs and carpet in bedrooms. Pool, spa and built-inn BBQ in back."
Original asking price: $719,578
Sales price: $704,000
Our comment: This sales price is 27% below the 2005 price of $960,000.

Monday, December 08, 2008

$155 per sq ft in Mission

Today we're looking at a foreclosure that previously sold for almost $1.2 million in 2005. Now, as financing for more expensive homes becomes harder to come by, the bank is trying to get its $774,900 asking price in time for the holidays.

22152 Bande, 92691
Asking price: $774,900
Asking price/ sq ft: $155
Bank purchase price: $1,016,110
Purchase date: 6/16/08
Size: 4 beds, 4.25 baths, 5,000 sq ft (built in 1978)
MLS: S554728 (20 days on Redfin)
Zillow Zestimate: $1,004,000
HOA dues: $70
Type: Single Family Residence
Stories: 2
Lot size: 10,080 Sq. Ft.
From listing: !!!Attention all buyers and agents!!! This is the one that you have been waiting for.. Custom 'madrid del lago' a total remodel, a must show. Great location, 2 stories, 3 master bedrooms + 1 bedroom w/fireplace, 4.25 total baths, 4 fireplaces, office, retreat, family room, den w/fireplace, beautiful tile floors, duel paine windows throughout, exercise room, too! And the inviting swimming pool and spa, looking for big and beautiful? And don't miss the private backyard and dramatic view.

Redfin says this property sold for $390,000 in 1994, $950,000 in 2004 and $1,185,000 in mid 2005. Somewhere during that time the property was remodeled.

We do know the previous owner tried to unsuccessfully lure in a sucker for $1.45 million in early 2007, with this description: "Newly Remodeled VACANT Price below market MOTIVATED SELLER 3 Master Bedrooms 4 Fireplaces Cul-de-sac VIEW Front and Back 5,000 SQFT 10,080 LOT SIZE." They bought the house at the peak for $1.185 million and were trying to say that the $1.45 million asking price in 2007 was "below market?" Yeah right.

We wonder what the plan originally was. It probably involved "easy money" through real estate. And, it didn't work.

Assuming the property is sold for the current asking price, it would mean a depreciation of $410,100 (35%) off the 2005 price and $175,100 (18%) off the late 2004 price - not including any sales costs.

Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Foreclosures: Huge drop off

ForeclosureRadar called it, and since we get our data from that site, we obviously agree: Foreclosures are significantly down across the board. That goes for South OC, too.

The reason: "CA State Senate Bill 1137 has rendered analysis of current activity against prior foreclosure levels useless in understanding market conditions," said Sean O'Toole, founder of ForeclosureRadar. "What is important to watch now, is how quickly lenders and trustees adjust to the new law. While it is unlikely foreclosures will return to previous levels, given the new requirements; we expect SB 1137 to have no long term impact beyond delaying the foreclosure process for homeowners, and slowing the overall recovery."

Here are the September numbers for South Orange County. First, new notices of default:



Here are REOS - properties sold back to the bank at auction:

Monday, September 08, 2008

August foreclosure stats

The August numbers are in from ForeclosureRadar. What do they say? You be the judge (with a little help from us)...

These are totals of new notices of default filed against South OC properties in August:

Notices of default had fallen off slightly month-to-month most of the summer. Now, they are showing a very small increase. Year-over-year numbers are still bad.

These are REOs recorded in August - that is to say, properties that went back to the bank at the foreclosure auction:

REOs are down slightly compared to July, which is not at all surprising considering some of the publicity surrounding efforts to suspend foreclosures. REOs are still up almost 90 percent from 2007, however.

Thursday, September 04, 2008

Collapse in Ladera Ranch

In recognition of the OC Register's San Clemente high-end foreclosure tour, we're going to post today on a luxury Ladera Ranch foreclosure property.

19 Dennis Lane, 92694
Asking price: $1,600,000
Asking price/ sq ft: $350
Bank purchase price: $2,002,160
Purchase date: 6/27/07
Size: 5 beds, 5.5 baths, 4,576 sq ft (built in 2005)
MRMLS: C08062676 (127 days on Redfin)
ZipRealty price tracker: Price Reduced: 5/15/08 -- $1,875,000 to $1,600,000
Zillow Zestimate: $1,631,500
HOA dues: $400
Type: Single Family Residence
Stories: 3+ Levels
From listing: SHERBORNW PLAN 3 TOTALLY UPGRADED!BEAUTIFUL GRAND ENTRY WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS, HANGING CHANELIER, OVERSIZED GREAT ROOM LEADS TO MORNING ROOM WITH A BAR, AND CUSTOM KITCHEN COMPLETE WITH WINE REFRIGERATOR ALL THERMODORE APLLIANCES, CUSTOM CROWN MOLDING AND GRANITE TOPPED ISLAND. FORMAL DINING TOOM WITH CUSTOM CANBINETRY LEADING TO FOUNTAIN AND ATRIUM. BACKYARD WITH VIEW, WITH WATER FOUNTAIN, SALT WATER POOL/SPA. FIREPLACE, BBQ ALSO 4 HOLE PUTTING GREEN. OVERSIZED BONUS ROOM !!!

Minimum Income Requirement (using 30Y Fixed): $318,000, assumes no other debt/obligations.
Downpayment needed: $320,000
Monthly Payment on 30Y Fixed at 7.25% with property taxes and mortgage insurance estimated: $10,481.86
Minimum Income Requirement (using 5Y fixed): $282,000, assumes no other debt/obligations.
Monthly Payment on 5Y fixed at 5.80% with property taxes and mortgage insurance estimated: $9,260.44
Disclosure: All rates offered to the client with 1 point cost. Rate quotes assume a purchase transaction with the required minimum down payment, 720 credit score, full income qualification and required reserves. Rates are subject to fluctuation. Custom rate quotes and rate lock advice are available by visiting www.thegreatloan.com.

Does this property look familiar to you? Perhaps you saw it before on BMIT when ocrenter profiled it in March 2007. At that point, a notice of default had been filed. This post is worth a look because you can see what kind of re-fi madness we're dealing with.

It looks like the property eventually went back to the bank despite the fact that it was up for sale in 2007 for $2.9 million at one point.

See how many typos and misspellings you can spot in the listing description. Unbelievable...

Two other properties are in trouble on this street: 23 Dennis Lane (an REO that is past the point of help) and 2 Dennis Lane, a preforeclosure.

Suffice to say, the lenders' losses on this property are staggering. It will be interesting to see what this one ends up selling for, but as you can see by the income and downpayment requirements, only an exclusive group can legitimately gain entry to this level of home.

Thursday, August 14, 2008

July '08 foreclosure stats

The July 2008 foreclosure statistics are in at ForeclosureRadar.com. Nothing terribly new to share with you. In most instances, notice of defaults (NODs) were either flat or slightly down from June, but significantly up compared to the same period in 2007.

There are more areas that saw increased REOs compared to June, but virtually all of July's numbers were significantly higher year-over-year.

Here are the NOD stats for South OC:



And, here are the REO numbers:

Friday, August 01, 2008

Going, going, gone!

The same headline as the title of this post showed up on ESPN.com moments after the L.A. Dodgers traded for slugger Manny Ramirez. It's also an appropriate label for this property in Ladera Ranch, which was hoping for a sale an on the market but is now "gone" since it went back to the bank at a foreclosure auction yesterday.

Another REO that will eventually be adding to the local inventory...

43 Bedstraw Loop, 92694
Last asking price: $699,000
Last asking price/ sq ft: $233
Income requirement: $174,750
FB purchase price: $870,000
FB purchase date: 4/29/05
Size: 4 beds, 3 baths, 3,000 sq ft (built in 2004)
MLS: S536445 (48 days on Redfin)
ZipRealty price tracker: Price Reduced: 7/01/08 -- $849,000 to $799,000
Price Reduced: 7/14/08 -- $799,000 to $699,000
Zillow Zestimate: $845,028
2007 property tax: $14,019
HOA dues: $205
Type: Single Family Residence
Style: Mediterranean
Stories: 3+ Levels
From listing: Lovely home in Ladera Ranch Claibourne 'green' community, largest model with upgrades galore. Spacious open floorplan includes formal living room with french doors leading to private courtyard. Formal dining room has butler's pantry which leads to gourmet kitchen with center island & breakfast nook and open to family room accented with french doors also leading to entertainer's courtyard. Second floor includes bonus room and master suite which opens to luxurious bath including soaking tub, separate shower and large walk-in closet. Third floor bonus room can be used as a bedroom and includes a balcony overlooking dramatic area view. Features including marble flooring, upgraded carpet, 2 car direct access garage, A/C unit with 3 floors of zoning and solar panels add to the energency efficiency of this 'green' home, upgraded Multi-Locks. Fabulous home that must be seen to appreciate!

The property is still showing up on Redfin as active, which is why we have a link to the property summary. Wonder how long it will take to come down...

The (now) previous owner purchased the home at the peak in 2005 using 100% financing. He didn't stop there.

A little less than a year later, he re-financed into $1,050,000 of debt thanks to the good folks at Fremont Investment & Loan.

A notice of default was filed against the first loan on the property in April 2008, but nevertheless the property went up for sale in June asking $849,000. That would have been a bad enough loss. Unfortunately, no buyer appreciated the home enough to make a deal that satisfied both the owner and, more importantly, the lender.

The last asking price on this property was $699,000. If we assume the property had actually sold, the shortfall for the lender would have been around $350,000. The "owner" would have turned nothing (the lack of a downpayment) into a $180,000 windfall.

The notice of trustee sale came in mid-July in the amount of $904,233. The original loan amount had been $868,000. Despite the fact that unpaid interest and other fees had pushed the NTS amount well above the original loan balance, the minimum bid at auction was $507,000 - a 44% discount off the NTS amount.

No takers.

Here is the ForeclosureRadar map of Ladera Ranch. This image is only displaying 200 of the 285 hits:

Tuesday, July 15, 2008

Foreclosure stats, June 2008

The latest South OC stats from ForeclosureRadar show new notices of default and the number of foreclosure properties that went back to the bank during the month of June decreased from May's totals - but they were still significantly higher than the totals from a year ago. The South Orange County numbers mirrored those of Orange County as a whole.

Here are the notice of default numbers for June 2008:



These are the REO stats - properties that went back to the bank at auction:


Image credit: Steve Rhodes

Thursday, June 12, 2008

May foreclosure numbers

Here are the May foreclosure numbers from ForeclosureRadar.com (if you're looking for foreclosure data, they've got the most up-to-date info out there).

REOs on our chart are foreclosures that were sold back to the bank at auction - this does not include properties sold to third parties at auction. These are homes that will be back on the market for sale (theoretically) soon and will be adding to the local inventory.

NOD stands for notice of default - the first stage of the formal foreclosure process. These numbers are helpful because they serve as forward-looking indicators for foreclosure numbers of the future.






As you can see, NODs and REOs are up significantly in South County when compared to 2007. If you compare to April, REOs were up, but notice of defaults were down slightly.

By this measure, Lake Forest (92630) is the most distressed market, since it had the most new NODs and the most REOs. It is surprising that Laguna Niguel was only two NODs behind.

Countywide, all foreclosures (NODs, notice of trustee sales and foreclosure sales) were up 18% compared to April, and up 302% year-over-year. Orange County ranked 32 out of 54 counties in California in terms of population per foreclosure sale (1 sale for every 2,307 people). Riverside was at the top, with a foreclosure for every 548 people.

Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Nothing down; big loss in Mission

Properties like the one we're profiling today have all-too-familiar sales histories: Modest appreciation from 1990-2000. A nice jump from 2000-2002. Then, the sky was virtually the limit during the bubble as this property almost doubled in value in the span of nearly three years.

Now, the value is retreating fast...

28052 Festivo, 92692
Asking price: $575,000
Asking price/ sq ft: $271
Income requirement: $143,750
Purchase price: $720,000
Purchase date: 8/2/2005
Size: 3 beds, 3 baths, 2,111 sq ft (built in 1979)
MLS: S508362 (226 days on Redfin)
ZipRealty price tracker: Price Reduced: 11/16/07 -- $699,000 to $669,000
Price Reduced: 1/10/08 -- $669,000 to $639,000
Price Reduced: 2/19/08 -- $639,000 to $599,000
Zillow Zestimate: $605,500
2007 property tax: $7,351
Type: Single Family Residence
From listing: Amazing Forever Views across Capistrano Valley! Gorgeous Trilevel, huge family room with cozy fireplace, updated kitchen and baths, scraped ceilings, freshly painted, very clean, and ready to go! Possible RV access! Giant backyard with plenty of room for a pool!


View Larger Map

The property is listed as a short sale for $575,000, and we wish potential buyers good luck with that considering there was a total of $720,000 in loans taken out on this property in mid 2005: Yes, $0-down (80/20) financing on a $720,000 house. The notice of trustee sale on the first loan was for about $34,000 more than the original loan, so we can only assume not much (if any) of the principal has been paid off. There is a lot of debt on this property.

Assuming a short sale can be completed for the current asking price, the loss would be $179,500, including 6% sales costs. Not including transaction costs, this property would undergo a depreciation of 20%.

Friday, May 16, 2008

3-time failure in Laguna Niguel

The Redfin listing for this Laguna Niguel preforeclosure home does not designate it as a short sale, but how can it not be one? The owner put $0 down when he bought it during the bubble, and he is now trying to sell it for more than $150,000 less than he paid about two years ago.

As you will see, there is much more to this story than meets the eye.

28281 Via Alfonse, 92677
Asking price: $649,900
Asking price/ sq ft: $375
Income requirement: $162,475
Purchase price: $830,000
Purchase date: 5/19/06
Size: 3 beds, 3 baths, 1,731 sq ft (built in 1989)
MLS: S532406 (3 days on Redfin)
Zillow Zestimate: $645,500
2006 property tax: $7,207
HOA dues: $142
Type: Single Family Residence
Stories: 2 Levels
Lot size: 4,040 sq ft
From listing: Wonderful two story home in Laguna Niguel. This home features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, a family room with a fireplace, a formal dining room, mirrored closet doors, and a great view of the surrounding city. Home has access to association amenities, which include a pool, spa, tennis court, and work-out center. Come and enjoy all the wonderful things this home has to offer.

Considering how the photos look, it appears the property is already vacant, so it seems unlikely the owner will be trying too hard to keep the house. Does the bottle of alcohol in this picture come with the house, or does that have to be negotiated separately?

As we mentioned, the owner obtained 100% financing (78/22) from JPMorgan Chase. The notice of default was filed on New Year's Eve.

Assuming it is possible to successfully sell the property for the full asking price, the loss would be $219,094, including 6% sales costs. Not a good day for the lender. And it's not the only one who will be out a lot of money.

Think this is an isolated incident in this neighborhood? On this street? Wouldn't you believe it: 28272 Via Alfonse is also headed towards foreclosure. And, 28371 Via Alfonse is an REO that is not yet listed for sale.

All $0 down deals using virtually identical means of financing. All purchased in mid-May through early June of 2006. All by the same investor.

That's right: In a span of less than a month, our real estate investor "bought" three properties on the same street - for a total of $2,390,000 - using none of his own money. Carleton Sheets would be proud!

But the fantasy of real estate riches soon ended, and each of the three homes began the foreclosure process by early January. Fortunately for the investor, he didn't have to sacrifice his home. In fact, his primary residence is in another, very wealthy South OC city.

All told, the loss on these properties will be significant, and the lenders will be left holding the collective bags. Who do you get angry at here? The investor for walking away and potentially not disclosing on their loan applications that they were buying so many properties and leveraging themselves to the hilt? Or do you cry foul on the lenders who enabled this behavior by funding the loans?

No matter what your personal opinion, there is no denying it is the lenders that will be taking the brunt of it in the shorts. And the neighbors can't be too happy to have three homes possibly sitting vacant on the street, either.

Thursday, May 08, 2008

No jolly holiday in San Juan

The decorations in the photo of this San Juan home scream "holidays" - and their presence is strangely appropriate. The borrowers who are holding today's subject property have been the beneficiaries of some very generous giving from their lenders. That's lenders with an "s."

26435 N Woodcrest Lane, 92675
Asking price: $370,000-$395,000
Asking price/ sq ft: $235-$251
Income requirement: $98,750
Purchase price: $510,000
Purchase date: 7/20/04
Size: 4 beds, 2 baths, 1,572 sq ft (built in 1972)
MLS: S525924 (49 days on Redfin)
ZipRealty price tracker: Price Reduced: 4/04/08 -- $450,000 to $400,000
Price Reduced: 4/15/08 -- $400,000 to $395,000
Zillow Zestimate: $478,000
2007 property tax: $5,393
HOA dues: $100
Type: Single Family Residence
Stories: 2 Levels
Lot size: 3,050 sq ft
From listing: Cozy Single Family Attached Home in San Juan Village with lots of upgrades. Well maintained. One of the best homes for sale in the neighborhood. This is a short sale. Foreclosure. Short sale subject to lender's approval.


View Larger Map

There are no interior photos with the listing, so we're settling for the Google street view. Here is the timeline for this property:

7/20/04: Purchased for $510,000 using 100% financing (a $408,000 first loan and a $102,000 second).
8/24/05: Re-fi for a total of $544,500 using two loans.
12/6/06: Another re-fi, this time also using two loans totaling $630,000.
1/16/08: Notice of default filed in the amount of $13,211.
3/19/08: Property listed for sale with an asking price of $450,000.

It seems unlikely the lender would quickly agree to a short sale, considering the first loan on this property that was made in 2006 was in the amount of $504,000 - about the entire 2004 purchase price. The second loan of $126,000 stands to be completely wiped out.

As you can see, it appears the years of free gifts for our owners appear to be numbered. Is there any reason to feel sorry for them? They "bought" the house using none of their own money, pulled cash out more than once and will walk away losing nothing except a few points on their credit score. This is clearly the case of the lender left holding the bag.

Assuming a short sale can somehow be arranged and the lender accepts for the top current asking price, the loss would be $138,700, including 6% sales costs, off the previous sales price. It would also be a depreciation of about 23%, not including transaction costs.

But, as we showed you, the loss for the lender would in reality be closer to $259,000, considering how much debt is actually on the property.

Friday, May 02, 2008

$0 down backfires in Talega

Today's property is another example of how a bubble-era buyer could get into a pretty darn nice million-dollar property like this one in Talega - without using any of their own money. What ever could go wrong?

Now, since the market has cooled, the house is predictably headed for foreclosure. Will a last-minute buyer step in, or will this one go all the way to auction?

219 Via Marfino, 92673
Asking price: $1,030,000
Asking price/ sq ft: $287
Income requirement: $257,500
Purchase price: $1,425,000
Purchase date: 8/26/05
Size: 5 beds, 5 baths, 3,586 sq ft (built in 2000)
MLS: S503912 (242 days on Redfin)
ZipRealty price tracker: Price Reduced: 11/30/07 -- $973,143 to $945,342
Price Increased: 11/30/07 -- $945,342 to $985,032
(Price increased 3/20/08 -- $985,032 to $1,030,000)
Zillow Zestimate: $991,500
2007 property tax: $18,242
HOA dues: $149
Type: Single Family Residence
Style: Spanish
Stories: 2 Levels
Lot size: 10,600 sq ft
From listing: Best value in talega and maybe orange county!!!! This pool home is ready to move in. Backs to the golf course, custom kitchen, lots of tile. Show and sell today!!! See you in escrow. Short sale is approved, no waiting, no waiting, no waiting for this great property!!!!Sold as is!!!!!!Short sale is approved by the lender!!!!!

The buyer paid $1.425 million in mid 2005. She was able to obtain 100% financing through First Franklin in the form of a $1.14 million first loan and a $285,000 second (80/20). A notice of default on the first loan in the amount of $31,494 was posted in December, and a notice of trustee sale in the amount of $1,198,356 came in mid March.

We would be curious to know if this property saw much action when it was priced at $945,342. Was the only thing holding up a sale the lender's approval? Or, was there not sufficient interest back then and this is really a last-ditch wishing effort with no substance?

One thing is certain, though: The property hasn't appreciated any since last fall, so if buyers weren't all over the place then it seems hard to believe they would be interested now with an increased price tag - unless, of course, the allure of an approved short sale is worth the higher price.

The property is scheduled to be auctioned May 5 at 10 a.m. - that is, unless a buyer can be found before then. As you can see from the listing, the lender has approved a price of $1.03 million. Is it worth that much to a buyer, or would they prefer to wait, let the property go back to the bank and later reappear as an REO before deciding whether to go through with the purchase?

By setting an approved short sale amount, the bank has agreed to a price that would equal a loss of $456,800, including 6% sales costs. Bye bye second loan, and ouch to the first one, too - in fact, the notice of trustee sale amount is actually higher than the original loan itself, thanks to unpaid interest and fees adding up.

A sale at that price would also mean a depreciation of about 28% in less than three years, not including transaction costs.

Thursday, May 01, 2008

$12.8 million preforeclosure in Laguna Beach

This property is simply amazing - it's a luxury beachfront home in Laguna Beach that is right off Coast Highway. But, as we know, it works the same no matter where the address is: Stop paying the mortgage, and the lender gets unhappy and begins the foreclosure process.

This property became a preforeclosure in March and also is up for sale on the MLS. Got all your pennies saved for the downpayment on this one?

31091 S Coast Hwy, 92651
Asking price: $12,800,000
Asking price/ sq ft: $2,977
Income requirement: You can't afford it
Purchase price: $4,800,000
Purchase date: 6/24/04
Size: 3 beds, 5 baths, 4,300 sq ft (built in 1992)
MLS: L25935 (31 days on Redfin)
Zillow Zestimate: $2,487,040
2007 property tax: $54,497.34
Type: Single Family Residence
Style: Contemporary
Stories: 2 levels
Lot size: 6,251 sq ft
From listing: Breath taking beach front contemporary home. Recently completed a $2 million remodel in 2007. Rare luxury property with every amenity imaginable. Enjoy short walks on the sand to the montage resort & spa with private beach access. Bang & olufsen tv and sound system, security cameras, automatic window coverings, custom temperture controlled wine room, partner's office, gym and entertainment room complete with pool table and professional bar. Hotel inpired master retreat with ocean views from every angle. Kitchen boasts his and hers sub-zeros, beverage center, convection range & gaggenau hood. Custom sie-matic cabinetry and zodiac stone counter tops designed by euro-kitchens. Home is elegantly completed with honed marble and limestone floors. Enjoy the magical sunsets nightly from the comfort of your living room or from one of your beautiful decks.


View Larger Map

(Google street view maps are a wonderful thing. We will now be including these with our featured properties whenever available. Don't forget to use your mouse and poke around the street if you feel so inclined)


Here's the recent financial history on this property:
10/23/03: Sold for $4.5 million.
6/24/04: Sold again for $4.8 million. Buyer put $960,000 down and financed $3.84 million through Loan Link in Aliso Viejo. Funding came in the way of a $3.36 million first loan and a $480,000 second (70/10 financing).
3/14/08: Notice of default filed - $12,714.
3/31/08: Appeared for sale on Redfin.

If you were compelled to read the long listing description (which sure as heck is warranted with a house of this price), you would have seen that this property underwent a $2 million remodel just a couple years ago. But does this alone warrant an appreciation of $8 million - a 167% total increase, or roughly a 28% gain per year - from the previous sales price in 2004? What is it really worth today?

Only a very small group of people can answer those questions - they make up the very tiny pool of potential buyers who would be interested in a property like this and have the financial wherewithal to pull the trigger (for all cash, we would presume). Consequently, they would be bailing out the current owner at the same time.

Will the "location, location, location" rule win out here and provide the current owner with enough appreciation to spring them from the foreclosure trap? We will certainly be watching to find out.

And, guess what: This isn't the only distressed property in Laguna Beach...


Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Beat the bank in San Juan

We have profiled in the past how some lower-end San Juan condo complexes are getting reamed right now, but today's property is in fact a single family home that is a short sale. If you hurry, you might be able to beat the bank on this one - the auction is scheduled for May 19 at 10 a.m. Better get a move on...

25765 Avenida Pedrigal, 92675
Asking price: $399,000-$425,000
Asking price/ sq ft: $374-$399
Income requirement: $106,250
Purchase price: $553,000
Purchase date: 7/29/05
Size: 2 beds, 2 baths, 1,066 sq ft (built in 1972)
MLS: S521688 (76 days on Redfin)
ZipRealty price tracker: Price Increased: 03/26/08 -- $385,000 to $395,000
Zillow Zestimate: $438,500
2007 property tax: $5,722
HOA dues: $75
Type: Single Family Residence
Style: Townhouse
Stories: 2 levels
Lot size: 1,553 sq ft
From listing: Beach Close Home. New ceramic tile with mosaic inlay in the downstairs area. Fireplace in living room. Master Suite with walk in closets and balcony. Upgraded powder room. Private yard with cobblestone patio. Approximately 1 mile to Dana Point Harbor and local beaches. Bank has approved short sale at $425,000. Owner paid $553,000 in July of 2005. Must be able to close quickly to beat the bank!

Owner paid $553,000 in 2005, huh. Want to guess how much of their own money they actually used? You got it: Nothing. Zero. This owner was able to get 100% financing through a $442,400 first mortgage and a $110,600 second - it's yet another 80/20 loan situation.

The notice of default was filed in early November in the amount of $10,553. The notice of trustee sale was posted in February. The amount was $462,982. That means unpaid interest and additional fees have driven the amount well above the original loan amount. This property is going to be a big loser for the lender.

It's kind of a mystery as to why the bank has approved a short sale for $425,000, and yet the property is listed at a price range of $399,000-$425,000. Do you really think the bank will go as low as $399,000? And even if they would, do you think they would get back to you in time to save this from auction?

Assuming a sale for the approved price of $425,000, the loss would be $153,500, including 6% sales costs. It would also be a depreciation of 23% in less than three years, not including transaction costs.


View Larger Map

Other owners on the street are not faring too well, either. You may also be interested to know that 25719 Avenida Pedrigal is an REO that is not for sale yet. Those owners bought the property for $600,000 in 2006 using a $480,000 (80%) loan. The home went back to the bank in January for $449,000 and is owned by Avelo Mortgage.

And, 25711 Avenida Pedrigal is for sale - at $146,500 less than its 2004 price.