Friday, February 08, 2008

Helping to lead the decline in RSM

We're continuing our tour of South OC price leaders in Rancho Santa Margarita thanks to reader Travis pointing out this possible comp killer-in-the-making. The original asking price appears to have been a bluff, considering it was dropped by $100k relatively soon after being listed.

5 Via Olorosa, 92688

Asking price: $450,000
Asking price/ sq ft: $290
Income requirement: $112,500
Purchase price: $630,000
Purchase date: 6/29/2006
Size: 3 beds, 2.5 baths, 1,551 sq ft (built in 1986)
MLS: P618427 (20 days on Redfin)
ZipRealty price tracker: Price Reduced: 2/5/08 -- $550,000 to $450,000
2006 property tax: $2,933
HOA dues: $46
Type: Single Family Residence
Style: Art Deco
Stories: One Level
Lot size: 7,000 sq ft
From listing: New Gourment Kitchen some upgrades 3 spacios bedrooms and spacious master bath. New Interior and Exterior many upgrades, premium corner location

Art Deco style? I wish. Also don't think this place is "one level." I'm also interested to see how exactly a "gourment" kitchen compares to the more-pervasive "gourmet kitchen."

Redfin shows a low list price of $350,000. If a sale goes through at that price (I'm guessing the lender would probably have something to say about that), it would represent a loss of $301,000 including 6% sales costs, or a 43% decline not factoring the transaction costs in. It would also be $226 per square foot.

If it magically sold for the full asking price, the loss would be $207,000.

How does this compare to its competition?

26 Via Ulmaria is a fellow price leader. It's exactly the same model and is asking $417,000. Days on Redfin: 36.

51 Via Zapador is about a third of a mile away from our original property, and is ever-so-slightly bigger. It's also three years newer, and has some upgrades. Asking price: $639,500. Days on Redfin: 120.

35 Allyssum is also around a third of a mile away. It's about 100 square feet bigger and is one year newer. Asking price: $559,000. Days on Redfin: 90.

6 Calle Passiflora is a little more than 100 square feet bigger but also has the added advantage of a 4th bedroom. Asking price: $529,900. Days on Redfin: 120.

5 comments:

Larry Roberts said...

Listings like this one are the fun of profiling communities outside of Irvine. 40% is a huge haircut for this early in the decline. It does make you wonder if we will see some 60% or greater declines in South OC.

Anonymous said...

This one isn't 40%, but it's an interesting race between seller and bank:

21 Calle Alimar (Y800661)
Asking price: $450,000
Last sale: %645,000, 5/22/06
Auction date: 3/19/08
Amount owed: $560,363.72

Markus Arelius said...

Wow! Is it just me or are some of these reseller just sitting on a treasure trove of equity, but can't realize any of it because the potential pool of buyers has been sliced by three-fourths over the last 6 to 9 months?

To me this is just the beginning. Imagine what will happen when spring and summer rolls around. It's gonna be brutal.

X said...

Holy shitt, wow, I am literally baffled by this price! I just clicked the MLS link for the 5 Via Olarosa home and it's now listed at 350k! OMG, can it get any lower??

BTW, I just found your blog last night, and I am officially addicted! Great, great, great, great blog! Thank you!!!!

Anonymous said...

Sold For: $410,000 (04/14/2008)

http://www.redfin.com/CA/RANCHO-SANTA-MARGARITA/5-VIA-OLOROSA-92688/home/5093478